AUGUST 19, 2026 · 9 SLIDES

A Poll Is Not a Ballot

73 percent of Alaska likely voters back pausing new data centers until the state passes a law. Houston in the Mat-Su voted a ban down.

The deck

SWIPE, SCROLL OR CLICK A SLIDE TO GO FULLSCREEN · 9 SLIDES

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The story

Data for Progress polled 605 likely voters from July 28th to August 4th. 63 percent of Republicans said pause too.

On August 13th the ban failed 4 to 2, per the Mat-Su Sentinel. The same council unanimously passed two objections to the state's land transfer process.

A poll covers a whole state. The ban covered one city, and only a small section of the land in question sits inside it. Anchorage adopted a permitting framework instead, a conditional use permit that regulates how and not whether.

The poll's methods and missing question wording, the Houston roll call, and what Anchorage adopted instead.

Which instrument should a 73 percent preference get, a city ban, a permit with conditions, or a state law?

What we verified

45 CLAIMS, EACH RE-FETCHED FROM ITS SOURCE BEFORE THIS DECK SHIPPED

  1. A Data for Progress survey found 73 percent of Alaska likely voters support pausing new data center development until the state passes a law regulating it.

    PRIMARYData for Progress2026-08-17
  2. The same survey found 63 percent of Alaska Republicans support pausing new data center development until the state passes a law regulating it.

    PRIMARYData for Progress2026-08-17
  3. The Data for Progress Alaska survey sampled 605 likely voters.

    PRIMARYData for Progress2026-08-17
  4. The Data for Progress Alaska survey was fielded from July 28th to August 4th, 2026.

    PRIMARYData for Progress2026-08-17
  5. The Data for Progress Alaska survey carries a margin of error of plus or minus 4 percentage points.

    PRIMARYData for Progress2026-08-17
  6. The survey used SMS and web panel respondents and was weighted by age, gender, education, race, geography, and recalled vote.

    PRIMARYData for Progress2026-08-17
  7. The Data for Progress Alaska survey was conducted in English only.

    PRIMARYData for Progress2026-08-17
  8. Data for Progress describes itself as equipping the progressive movement with the data and insights it needs to win.

    PRIMARYData for Progress2026-08-19
  9. Data for Progress did not publish the exact wording of the data center question in the post announcing the result.

    PRIMARYData for Progress2026-08-17
  10. The share of Alaska voters worried about affording monthly utilities such as electricity or heat rose from 54 percent to 66 percent.

    PRIMARYData for Progress2026-08-17
  11. Worry about affording groceries and food rose from 61 percent to 66 percent in the same survey comparison.

    PRIMARYData for Progress2026-08-17
  12. Worry about affording healthcare services rose from 57 percent to 66 percent and housing from 43 percent to 53 percent.

    PRIMARYData for Progress2026-08-17
  13. Asked where an extra 100 million dollars of state spending should go, 39 percent of Alaska voters named making electricity and heating more affordable as a first or second choice, against 35 percent for the Permanent Fund Dividend and 33 percent for K-12 education.

    PRIMARYData for Progress2026-08-17
  14. On first choice alone, Alaska voters most commonly named the Permanent Fund Dividend at 26 percent, then K-12 public education at 22 percent, with making electricity and heating more affordable third at 17 percent.

    PRIMARYData for Progress2026-08-17
  15. Energy affordability topped the combined first and second choice list in the Fairbanks North Star Borough at 55 percent.

    PRIMARYData for Progress2026-08-17
  16. Energy affordability topped the combined first and second choice list on the Kenai Peninsula at 51 percent.

    PRIMARYData for Progress2026-08-17
  17. Energy affordability topped the combined first and second choice list in the Mat-Su at 46 percent.

    PRIMARYData for Progress2026-08-17
  18. 60 percent of Alaska voters say their local electric utility should build a project that could raise bills for a few years but lower them over the following two decades, while 25 percent say it should not.

    PRIMARYData for Progress2026-08-17
  19. 52 percent of Alaska voters say a utility that rejects such a project should be required to open its finances to an independent audit.

    PRIMARYData for Progress2026-08-17
  20. Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins wrote that he is the first and he believes still the only candidate in the governor's race to call for a moratorium on data center development in Alaska until the state can pass comprehensive regulation.

    PRIMARYAnchorage Daily News2026-08-12
  21. An ordinance to block data center construction within Houston city limits failed on a 4 to 2 vote.

    REPORTMat-Su Sentinel2026-08-18
  22. The Houston city council vote on the data center ordinance took place on August 13th, 2026.

    REPORTMat-Su Sentinel2026-08-18
  23. Houston council members Callie Courtney and Lisa Johansen voted in favor of the data center ban ordinance.

    REPORTMat-Su Sentinel2026-08-18
  24. The Houston city council unanimously approved two resolutions opposing the state Department of Natural Resources land transfer process on the same night the ban failed.

    REPORTMat-Su Sentinel2026-08-18
  25. Houston council member Jeffrey Brasel said of the state land transfer process that there was zero transparency and that preliminary decisions were made before the city had a decision to make.

    REPORTMat-Su Sentinel2026-08-18
  26. Houston Mayor Carter Cole said that if a good reason were found for a data center in Houston it could probably end up in Houston and that without action now the city may never get that chance again.

    REPORTMat-Su Sentinel2026-08-18
  27. Houston official Kent Mitchell said that zoning laws preventing anyone from coming in and doing whatever they want would solve a future problem for multiple industries.

    REPORTMat-Su Sentinel2026-08-18
  28. State Representative Kevin McCabe said what he supports is finding ways to get the city of Houston more revenue and the state more revenue.

    REPORTMat-Su Sentinel2026-08-18
  29. A Department of Natural Resources spokesperson said the city's resolutions will be reviewed as part of the proposal process if they are officially submitted as comments.

    REPORTMat-Su Sentinel2026-08-18
  30. The proposed transfer would move 30 square miles of rural land from the Alaska Department of Natural Resources to the Alaska Industrial Development and Export Authority.

    REPORTMat-Su Sentinel2026-08-18
  31. The proposed parcels border Willow, Meadow Lakes and Houston, with a small section crossing into Houston city limits.

    REPORTMat-Su Sentinel2026-08-18
  32. Public Citizen's tracker of election deepfake legislation lists no enacted Alaska law, showing every Alaska bill as failed or with its election deepfake provision removed.

    REPORTPublic Citizen2026-08-03
  33. Alaska Senate Bill 64 passed the House in 2026 with its election deepfake provision removed.

    REPORTPublic Citizen2026-08-03
  34. At least 27 states are listed as having enacted election deepfake laws on Public Citizen's tracker as of its August 3rd, 2026 update.

    REPORTPublic Citizen2026-08-03
  35. The Anchorage Assembly adopted Ordinance AO 2026-27 on March 27th, 2026.

    REPORTDavis Wright Tremaine2026-04-01
  36. Ordinance AO 2026-27 amends Title 21 of the Anchorage Municipal Code by creating a new land use category for data centers.

    REPORTDavis Wright Tremaine2026-04-01
  37. Under the Anchorage ordinance data centers must obtain a conditional use permit, which triggers a discretionary review process.

    REPORTDavis Wright Tremaine2026-04-01
  38. The Anchorage ordinance requires applicants to demonstrate that sufficient electrical, water and wastewater capacity exists to support the proposed facility.

    REPORTDavis Wright Tremaine2026-04-01
  39. The Anchorage ordinance is described as a land use and permitting framework for data centers and not as a moratorium.

    REPORTDavis Wright Tremaine2026-04-01
  40. In early and preliminary counting from Alaska's August 18th, 2026 primary, Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins led the governor's race with 21.8 percent and Tom Begich followed with 19.7 percent.

    REPORTAlaska Public Media2026-08-18
  41. In the same preliminary count Bernadette Wilson had 10.7 percent and Dave Bronson 8.5 percent.

    REPORTAlaska Public Media2026-08-18
  42. The Alaska governor primary field included 17 candidates made up of 12 Republicans, three independents and two Democrats.

    REPORTAnchorage Daily News2026-08-18
  43. Under Alaska's election laws the top four vote getters in the primary advance to the general election regardless of party.

    REPORTAnchorage Daily News2026-08-18
  44. Alaska election officials plan to certify the primary results on August 31st, 2026.

    REPORTAnchorage Daily News2026-08-18
  45. Over two dozen demonstrators affiliated with the group PauseAI took to the streets of Anchorage on a Monday afternoon warning drivers about the under regulation of AI.

    REPORTAlaska Landmine2026-08-13

Beats

This article is on Alaska data centers · Alaska land and permitting for AI · Defense and federal AI in Alaska · Alaska AI policy and legislation. Each beat page keeps every decision and every article on that subject in one place.